Write off Puerto Rico debt
Nydia M. Velázquez, Member of Congress and Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator | 11/16/2017, 1:58 p.m.
Dear Mr. José B. Carrión, Chairman Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico,
As Puerto Rico continues to suffer the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Maria, its delicate financial situation renews many longstanding questions about its capacity to shoulder its crushing debt load. We are pleased that you are setting aside the previously approved Fiscal Plan that sought to implement fiscal cuts and are working to rewrite a plan that considers the storm’s damages and the resulting population flight. As you work toward the next iteration of a Fiscal Plan—which we believe should extend for longer than the five years proposed—we urge you make a request to Judge Swain to completely discharge the Commonwealth’s and itsinstrumentalities’ debt.
After more than a year of delving deep into the reality of Puerto Rico’s state of affairs, you are more than aware of the precarious situation the Island has been in—a position that has been dramatically worsened since Hurricane Maria. If the situation is not reversed, Puerto Rico will face the possibility of total collapse. This possibility is not news to the Oversight Board. As Executive Director Natalie Jaresko recently testified, “Without unprecedented levels of help from the United States government, the recovery we were planning for will fail. … The hurricane-caused damage has added greatly—and will add greatly—to the financial distress of the Commonwealth and its instrumentalities.” She also warned that “Puerto Rico is experiencing a massive population exodus.”
We have concerns about whether Congress’ response will be sufficient. In the first tranche of disaster relief money for the island, Congress approved a $4.9 billion loan to ease an imminent liquidity crisis. But offering Puerto Rico loans, not grants, on top of their already astronomical obligations, and subsequently requesting offsets for true emergency needs in Puerto Rico, is disrespectful. If assistance falls short of what the island needs, people will die, basic needs will go unmet and Puerto Ricans who can exit the island will do so in even greater numbers, further deteriorating the territory’s tax base and long-term economic outlook. Irrespective of Congress’ response, creditors must now finally face the reality that Puerto Rico will never be able to repay its preexisting debt, and the Oversight Board must act in accordance with that reality too.
The Puerto Rican economy has experienced a double-digit-percentage decline in the past decade. Poverty rates have risen steeply, with 58 percent of children living below the U.S. federal poverty line. More than 10 percent of the population has left the island in the past decade because of the scarce economic opportunity there, and now, post-Maria, that percentage could be mirrored in just two years. Already, tens of thousands of Puerto Ricans have fled to the mainland since the hurricane. Furthermore, researchers have found that Puerto Rico’s capacity to repay post-Maria is hopeless. The hurricane’s aftermath is expected to reduce economic output by 21 percent within the next 15 years. Even if Puerto Rico is able to disrupt its free fall descent and ultimately recover, the question still looms: What happens to the debt?