It’s been months since the troop withdrawal from Afghanistan when President Biden’s approval rating began to tank, but a recent poll shows that his popularity continues to plummet. According to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll that was conducted during the last week in October, Biden’s approval rating was 43% with 51% disapproving of his job performance.

Those numbers may improve after the general election and the perception of Biden’s deal making in Glasgow, particularly a proposal to tax corporations and prevent their flight from the U.S. to tax havens.

The gubernatorial election in Virginia, a highly contested one between Republican Glenn Youngkin and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, who is trying to regain the seat, may be a litmus test for the midterm elections next year. As we go to press, the race is a dead heat, and Trump is not a disinterested party.

Biden may not be getting the numbers he needs back home, but he appears to be doing quite well in Scotland, practically commanding the rostrum and making a strong case for the U.S. as a world leader. A host of nations have followed his lead on curbing deforestation and reducing methane emissions.

Meanwhile, Biden has yet to convince Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema to agree to his economic agenda. They do not approve of the size and scope of his agenda, especially the proposed budget on the social safety net, and this has made it impossible to forge a consensus in the party.

There was a general excitement for Biden’s infrastructure plan and the $3.5 trillion bill, including a vastly expanded Medicare that would provide dental, vision, and hearing coverage for the nation’s seniors. Caught in the throes of the boondoggle is paid family leave, though the pre-k and climate change budgets are bright spots.

Another important race and its outcome may portend how future elections will be for the two parties. A special election in Ohio to fill a 15th congressional seat is a tight race between Republican Mike Carey and Democrat Rep. Allison Russo, who has been endorsed by Biden. She faces an uphill battle in the GOP bastion but has a record of upsetting the top contender.

Biden is at the mercy of these various elections, his own party members intransigence, and if he can change his dwindling approval ratings. As usual the issues are pregnant with possibilities.   

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